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PTT Thap Sakae Gas Station — ROI analysis: 16-24% return, 5-7 year payback period

ROI Analysis

Return on Investment Analysis

PTT Gas Station, Thap Sakae, Prachuap Khiri Khan Province | Selling Price 75 Million Baht | 2024 Revenue Data

Acquisition Investment
75 M.
Initial Selling Price
Renovation Budget
12.4 M.
7-Eleven 7.9 + Amazon 4.5
Total Investment
87.4 M.
Before interest/transfer fees
Estimated Profit (Base)
14.8 M./year
Payback period ~5.9 years

Estimated Profit Structure (Base Case)

Fuel (29%) +4.31 M.
7-Eleven (38%) +5.65 M.

Space & Building Rental 25%

Café Amazon (5%) +0.71 M.

Others (3%) +0.39 M.

Assumptions for Estimation (Base Case)

Revenue Source Details
Fuel 0.8 THB/liter × 5.39 M. liters (after deducting all expenses — staff costs, maintenance, insurance, etc.)
7-Eleven Net income (after deducting expenses)
Space & Building Rental Margin ~80% (main expense is building maintenance)
Café Amazon Margin ~15% of sales (after deducting raw material + labor + royalty costs)
Others Corporate income tax, depreciation, loan interest, utilities
Estimated Net Profit (per year)
Conservative Scenario
Net Profit/Year
12.0 M.
Annual ROI
13.7%
Payback Period
7.3 years
Net fuel profit 0.5 THB/liter
Amazon margin 12%
Vacant rental space +10%
Normal Scenario (Base Case)
Net Profit/Year
14.8 M.
Annual ROI
16.9%
Payback Period
5.9 years
Net fuel profit 0.8 THB/liter
Amazon margin 15%
Based on current data
Optimistic Scenario (After Renovation)
Net Profit/Year
16.6 M.
Annual ROI
19.0%
Payback Period
5.3 years
Renovated, sales increased by 20%
Net fuel profit 0.8 THB/liter

Profit Share from Each Business (Base Case)

Revenue Source Profit/Year Share
Fuel (Net Profit) 4.31 M. 29.1%
7-Eleven Profit Share 5.65 M. 38.2%
Space & Building Rental 3.70 M. 25.0%
Café Amazon 0.71 M. 4.8%
Others (Utilities/Interest) 0.39 M. 2.6%
Total Estimated Net Profit 14.76 M. 100%

Impact of Renovation (Renovation Upside)

If investment is made to renovate 7-Eleven and Café Amazon as planned, sales are expected to increase by at least 15-25% from attracting returning customers and new customers.

7-Eleven Renovation Budget (New Format) 7.92 M.
Café Amazon Renovation Budget 4.50 M.
Total Renovation Budget 12.42 M.
If sales increase by 20% after renovation:
Profit increases from 14.8 M. → 16.6 M./year
ROI increases from 16.9% → 19.0%/year
Payback period shortens from 5.9 years → 5.3 years
Land Value: Over 15 rai of land next to Petchkasem Road, average price ~4.8 M./rai, has inherent value and there is still vacant land at the back for further business expansion.

Sensitivity Analysis: Key Factors Affecting Profit

Factor Impact/Year Risk
Net fuel profit changes ±0.2 THB/liter ±1.08 M. High
Fuel sales volume changes ±10% ±0.43 M. High
7-Eleven does not renew contract -5.65 M. Critical
Vacant rental space +20% -0.74 M. Moderate
EV reduces fuel sales by 5%/year (cumulative) -0.22 M./year Long-term

Decision Summary

Annual ROI (Base Case)
16.9%
Higher than deposits/bonds, but with business risks
Payback Period
5.3 - 7.3 years
Depends on fuel profit and renovation
Average Monthly Profit (Base)
~1.23 M./month
From total net profit of 14.76 M./year
Revenue Diversification
Good — 4 main revenue sources
7-Eleven 38% + Fuel 29% + Rent 25% + Amazon 5%
Note: This analysis is a preliminary estimate based solely on the provided revenue data. Fuel profit figures use a net profit of 0.8 THB/liter (after deducting all expenses), based on the actual data of this service station. Before making an investment decision, investors should: (1) Request actual profit and loss statements and balance sheets (2) Request cash flow statements (3) Review the 7-Eleven contract and renewal terms (4) Review the 10 million THB OD liability and title deed release conditions (5) Evaluate the long-term impact of EVs (6) Consult financial and legal advisors before making a decision.

This information does not constitute financial or investment advice.
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